The Calm before the Storm

Wesley Clark and John Edwards' last stand is tomorrow. Unless one or both of them win big, they are both going to have to drop out in all probability on Wednesday.

With Kerry's continuing streak of big wins over the weekend in Michigan, Washington and Maine isn't looking damn near impossible for Clark or Edwards to win either TN or VA, let alone WI or other states down the road.

The MSNBC/Zogby poll doesn't look good for anyone but John Kerry: in VA, he has 47%; John Edwards 24%; Wesley Clark 11%; and Howard Dean 10%. The TN poll shows Kerry with 45% support; Edwards 21%; Clark 19%; Dean 5%.

So now onto something more interesting: Gay Marriage

The vote of a political lifetime for MA State legislators is going to happen in two days. According to an unofficial tally by an AP reporter, who had only gotten half way through the calling by Friday, the score is 40 some for banning gay marriage, 50 some against the amendment to ban gay marriage and 10 undecided. The amendment needs 101 votes out of the 199 current members and senators (one Vacancy in the senate) meeting on Wednesday to pass but 2/3rds majority to get on the calendar to be voted on. Look for them to try to keep it off the calendar, and if that fails, then who knows what will happen.

I think the courts have already decided this. Because even if they vote this amendment in, then next year they need to do the same thing, and then in 2006 the voters need to pass it. So we could have gay people marry in May, and be forcibly divorced 2 years later. Sounds anti-family to me. The winning way to spin this is to say "I am pro-family and pro-marriage. I am glad that these people want to take the responsibilities of commitment. I want all kinds of families and marriages to work, I think we should not be tearing families apart because of sexual orientation. What is really hurting marriage are these reality TV shows, drive thru weddings, and Hollywood foibles." Some think we should abolish marriage all together to solve the problem.