Wednesday, February 04, 2004

Groundhog Tuesday: Kerry saw a shadow

Last night, Kerry won big all around, with one exception: the South. John Edwards and Wesley Clark combined to make sure that Kerry didn't get Oklahoma or South Carolina.

Currently, Clark is leading Edwards by a little more than 1,000 votes in Oklahoma. But maybe they are going to do a recount. Of course, Everyone else was a goose egg.

Howard Dean made a sad, sad speech to his supporters in Washington. And Kerry went on network TV and droned on forever. He is just missing something there is no life there. I don't want to listen to him give the state of the union, because he seems to be talking down everytime just like Al Gore was tiresome quickly.

I didn't get to hear Clark's speech, but Edwards was fantastic again. He talked to America, not to his audience, and was short and to the point. You could see why he was such a successful attorney. Despite the delegate totals, I see the election as follows:

  1. Kerry
  2. Edwards
  3. Clark
  4. ...Dean


I can see how Clark or Edwards can win more states (TN and VA) but where is Dean going to win? Not Michigan, where Kerry is over 50%, and I think even his liberal bastion of Washington won't be kind to him, nor will Wisconsin when the time comes.

The trouble for Edwards and Clark is that the other is still around and will hurt the other from piling up big wins in the south. Plus, both need to prove they can win elsewhere. Edwards goes the closest to that with his 5 point loss to Kerry in Iowa, but he needs to actually win one, I don't don't see which ones until Super Tuesday. He will try to get a respectable second in Michigan, but we will see.

Look for all the Unions to abandon Howard soon, and leap on to the Kerry bandwagon. Now it is Dean that is like Bruce Willis in Sixth Sense, not Lieberman. Joe-mentum got him 98 votes in conservative North Dakota, so he finally dropped out last night.

On to the next race on Saturday.

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