What's up in CO?

Rocky Mountain News' Tankersley reports, John Kerry "has scaled back" his TV ads in CO this week, and "scrapped" a planned campaign stop in Denver.

Instead, Kerry "will refocus his time and ad dollars on more hotly contested swing states" such as OH and FL -- "although campaign officials insist that they will continue to fight for" CO. KE'04 "will continue to bring surrogates into" CO to stump for Kerry, to advertise on Spanish-language radio and to push an "aggressive" GOTV effort; the RNC will continue to run ads in CO on Kerry's behalf at "saturation levels" (10/25).

Sounds like Kerry's giving up on CO right? Sounds like his internal polls show his margin sinking fast. But then look at this Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 10/21-24; surveyed 602 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/24).

General Election Matchup
Kerry 49%
Bush 45
Other 3
Undec. 3

And what is up with the Aloha state? Or Arkansas?

A Ward Research poll; conducted 10/13-18 for the Honolulu Advertiser; surveyed 600 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Honolulu Advertiser, 10/23).

General Election Matchup Bush On Entering War
Bush 43% Misled people 54%
Kerry 43 Provided correct info 35
Undec/Oth 14

War Made World Safer For U.S.? Will U.S. Need To Reinstate Draft?
Yes 39% Yes 31%
No 56 No 58




For AR: Opinion Research Associates (R) poll; conducted 10/18-20; surveyed 500 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (Log Cabin Democrat, 10/24).

General Election Matchup
All Ind Wom All Ind Wom
Bush 48% 54% 53% 52% 69% 47%
Kerry 48 39 42 43 22 47
Undec. 4 7 5 5 8 6

Appearantly, Bubba is "itching" to campaign back home. After all, he still believes in a place called Hope.