With the addition of 49 new polls over the weekend, the Hotline "Scoreboard" has Bush "leading with 27 states and 227 EVs. John Kerry has 14 states and 188 EVs. 10 states remain disputed: FL (27), HI (4), IA (7), MN (10), NH (4), NJ (15), NM (5), OH (20), PA (21), WI (10)."
Bush leads in three national polls: a Newsweek poll shows Bush leading Kerry 51%-45% among LVs and 48%-45% among RVs (yeah right). A Pew poll shows Bush leading Kerry among LVs 48%-45%. Among RVs, Kerry leads 46%-45% (see EDM). A CBS News/New York Times poll shows Bush leading Kerry 49%-46% among LVs with Ralph Nader at 1%.
Kerry leads in two national polls: an American Research Group poll shows Kerry leading Bush 49%-48% among LVs. The result is the same among RVs. A Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll shows Kerry leading Bush among LVs 47%-46%. Among RVs Kerry leads 47%-45%.
Two national polls show the race tied/disputed: a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll shows Bush and Kerry tied at 49% among LVs with Nader at 1%. Kerry leads 48%-46% among RVs with Nader at 1%. However, Gallup has Kerry up in almost all of the Battleground states including OH FL and WI. Yet somehow they have Bush with a 5 point lead in PA. So under Gallup's model Kerry would handily win, approaching 300 EVs. A Marist poll shows Bush and Kerry tied at 48% among RVs and Kerry leading 49%-48% among LVs.
Curt Schilling "made a surprise appearance" with Bush this a.m. in OH and was also expected to accompany Bush to PA. Why didn't the darn doctors get him under the knife so he couldn't walk until after election day. Curt, you are the best pitcher in the game today but I disagree with your politics. Portsmouth Herald pointed out the management team of the Red Sox supported Kerry.
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